Food and Water Security as Determinants of Public Health Stability in Fragile States: The Case of Nigeria

While analyses of food and water insecurity often discuss it as a developmental or humanitarian issue apart from public health stability, its causal pathways with public health are immediate, robust, and especially potent in fragile state contexts of weak governance and the attendant constraints that influence their capacity to manage resource paucity. This paper discusses food and water security as structural drivers of public health stability in Nigeria, which is positioned amongst one of the most fragile states in the world and suffers periodic droughts, desertification, flooding, and the conflict induced deterioration of water and agricultural systems. Extending the entitlement-failure perspective to food security (Sen, 1981) and well-known water security perspectives, it identifies two key public health pathways of importance: first, the nutrition-infection vicious cycle where food insecurity increases vulnerability to and severity of infectious diseases especially among children, and second, the water-insecurity-to-waterborne diseases causal loop driven by the absence of safe, adequate and affordable water access and hygiene infrastructure. In fragile state contexts like those found in Nigeria’s North East, Lake Chad Basin or farmer-herder middle belt corridors food and water insecurity interact with conflict and weak governance to generate vicious policy feedbacks: dearth of water and food fuels conflict and displacement, which weakens their access to reliable food and water systems, in turn increasing susceptibility to food- and waterborne disease outbreaks (Ioryue, 2024; IFPRI, 2026). Policy implications are drawn out on how to use food and water insecurity metrics in a country’s public health early warning system, as well as how humanitarian, development, and health funding channels could be brought to bear on a collective threat.

Keywords: food security, water security, fragile states, public health, Nigeria, malnutrition, WASH, environmental security

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